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United States — Climate-Food Risk
Live climate intelligence for United States: ENSO sensitivity, crop exposure, commodity markets, and food security risk. Data from GDACS, Open-Meteo, World Bank, and IPC Global.
ENSO Impact on United States
The US agricultural system spans multiple climate zones with varying ENSO sensitivity. The Corn Belt (Iowa, Illinois, Indiana) has moderate La Niña drought risk in spring. The Southern Plains wheat belt faces El Niño-driven winter precipitation anomalies. California's agricultural sector is highly ENSO-sensitive, with El Niño bringing above-average precipitation and La Niña driving drought.
Current ENSO phase: Neutral (ONI +0.2°C). For United States, neutral conditions mean mixed regional signals — Corn Belt broadly stable, western states monitoring drought risk. Live ENSO status and ONI index tracking is available on the platform.
Agricultural Commodity Exposure
United States is a significant dominant global exporter of Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Cotton, Rice. Climate-driven production variability in United States creates measurable price signals in global commodity markets within 2–6 months of significant weather events.
- Primary commodities: Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Cotton, Rice
- ENSO sensitivity: Medium — production correlates significantly with Pacific SST anomalies
- Price signal lag: typically 2–6 months from weather event to market impact
- Supply chain risk: elevated during ENSO phase transitions
Food Security Risk
The US maintains IPC Phase 1 at a national level, though food insecurity is concentrated among low-income urban populations. As the world's largest corn and soybean exporter, US production variability is a primary driver of global commodity price volatility.
El Niño One Wave tracks IPC phase updates for United States alongside live climate data. When ENSO-driven anomalies intersect with existing food insecurity, compound risk can escalate rapidly. The Crisis Signal Map on the live platform shows current conditions.
Live Monitoring — United States
- GDACS disaster events: active events affecting United States and surrounding region
- Agricultural temperature anomaly: departure from 1991–2020 seasonal mean
- Commodity price tracker: Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Cotton, Rice — monthly World Bank data
- ENSO phase and ONI index trajectory
- IPC food security phase — updated as classifications are published
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