LIVE
ONI Index: +0.2°C · Neutral Phase · Active Disaster Events Tracked Globally · Open-Meteo Agricultural Anomaly Monitor · World Bank Commodity Price Intelligence · GDACS Real-Time Event Data · Pacific SST +0.8°C Above Mean · ENSO Outlook: Neutral Through Q3 2026 · Free Intelligence · No Paywall · Built for NGOs, Researchers, Journalists, Analysts · ONI Index: +0.2°C · Neutral Phase · Active Disaster Events Tracked Globally · Open-Meteo Agricultural Anomaly Monitor · World Bank Commodity Price Intelligence · GDACS Real-Time Event Data · Pacific SST +0.8°C Above Mean · ENSO Outlook: Neutral Through Q3 2026 · Free Intelligence · No Paywall · Built for NGOs, Researchers, Journalists, Analysts
Live data · Free access · Open methodology

Climate Intelligence Platform

From Disaster
to Market
to Food Security

El Niño One Wave tracks how climate events drive commodity prices and food insecurity in real time. Built for NGOs, journalists, researchers, analysts, and anyone who needs to understand what the weather is doing to the world's food supply.

Free. No spam. Unsubscribe anytime. · Weekly every Monday.

6 Agricultural Regions
5 Live Commodities
190+ Countries Tracked
24/7 Live Event Monitor

The Intelligence Chain

A cyclone hits. Your food prices rise.
We track every step between.

🌀
Event Detected
GDACS flags a disaster — cyclone, flood, drought, wildfire — within hours of onset.
GDACS Live
🌾
Crop Exposure
We map which agricultural regions are affected and which commodities are produced there.
Open-Meteo
📊
Market Impact
Commodity price direction is estimated based on 40 years of ENSO-market correlation data.
World Bank
🍚
Food Security Risk
IPC phase mapping shows which populations face elevated food insecurity as a result.
IPC · FEWS NET

Platform Features

Everything in one platform. No paywall.

🗺️
Command Centre
Live world map showing active disaster events, ENSO status, commodity markets, and crisis-to-market impact chains — all in one view.
Live data
📡
Signal Feed
Crisis intelligence mapped with food security overlays. Every story tagged with commodity market impact. Tap to expand with full analysis.
Updated daily
📈
Commodity Markets
Stock-terminal style live pricing for wheat, corn, soybeans, coffee, and rice — with trend bars and climate cause attribution.
World Bank · Live
🌡️
Agricultural Monitor
Real-time temperature anomaly tracking across 6 major agricultural regions. Departure from seasonal mean. Heat stress alerts.
Open-Meteo · Live
🔬
Science Hub
AI-powered search across ENSO and climate-food research. Find papers, methodology, and data sources in seconds.
Research database
⚡
Impact Chain Tracker
Visual chain: disaster event → supply mechanism → commodity → price impact → affected population. The connection made visible.
Live · GDACS

Data Sources

Built on authoritative data. Fully transparent methodology.

GDACS
Global disaster events · Real-time
Open-Meteo
Agricultural temperature anomalies · Live
World Bank
Commodity price indices · Monthly
NOAA CPC
ENSO / ONI index · Official
IPC Global
Food security phase classification
FEWS NET
Famine early warning · USAID

Full methodology documented at elnino-onewave.pages.dev/methodology · All data free to cite with attribution.

Who Uses This

Built for everyone who needs to know.

🏛️
NGOs and Humanitarian Orgs
Early warning for food security programme planning and emergency response.
📰
Journalists
Citable data, downloadable charts, press kit, and embargo alerts for your climate stories.
🔬
Researchers
Documented methodology, downloadable datasets, and ENSO-commodity correlation data.
📦
Supply Chain Managers
Early signals of commodity disruptions before they reach your procurement desk.
📊
Commodity Analysts
Real-time climate-to-price chain intelligence and ENSO-driven market analysis.
🏛️
Policymakers
Country-level food security risk scores and climate-driven agricultural disruption data.

Get the weekly intelligence report

Every Monday: the climate events moving commodity markets, the food security risks escalating, and the signals most people missed. Free. Always will be.

No spam. No paywall. Unsubscribe anytime.

→ Open live platform → Read methodology → Press kit