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Bangladesh — Climate-Food Risk

Live climate intelligence for Bangladesh: ENSO sensitivity, crop exposure, commodity markets, and food security risk. Data from GDACS, Open-Meteo, World Bank, and IPC Global.

ENSO Impact on Bangladesh

Bangladesh is among the most climate-vulnerable agricultural nations on earth. Monsoon flooding annually inundates 20–30% of the country; El Niño years bring reduced monsoon rainfall and drought stress to the northwest, while La Niña amplifies flood severity. The 2022 Sylhet floods — intensified by La Niña — submerged one-third of the country and damaged the boro (dry season) rice crop.

Current ENSO phase: Neutral (ONI +0.2°C). For Bangladesh, neutral conditions mean average monsoon probability, with flooding risk reduced from La Niña-amplified levels of 2022–23. Live ENSO status and ONI index tracking is available on the platform.

Agricultural Commodity Exposure

Bangladesh is a significant most densely populated agricultural nation of Rice, Jute, Fish, Garments, Vegetables. Climate-driven production variability in Bangladesh creates measurable price signals in global commodity markets within 2–6 months of significant weather events.

• Primary commodities: Rice, Jute, Fish, Garments, Vegetables
• ENSO sensitivity: High — production correlates significantly with Pacific SST anomalies
• Price signal lag: typically 2–6 months from weather event to market impact
• Supply chain risk: elevated during ENSO phase transitions

Food Security Risk

Bangladesh faces IPC Phase 3 food insecurity concentrated in the drought-prone northwest (Rajshahi, Chapai Nawabganj) and coastal communities affected by saline intrusion. Climate adaptation — flood-tolerant rice varieties, raised homesteads — is increasingly essential.

El Niño One Wave tracks IPC phase updates for Bangladesh alongside live climate data. When ENSO-driven anomalies intersect with existing food insecurity, compound risk can escalate rapidly. The Crisis Signal Map on the live platform shows current conditions.

Live Monitoring — Bangladesh

• GDACS disaster events: active events affecting Bangladesh and surrounding region
• Agricultural temperature anomaly: departure from 1991–2020 seasonal mean
• Commodity price tracker: Rice, Jute, Fish, Garments, Vegetables — monthly World Bank data
• ENSO phase and ONI index trajectory
• IPC food security phase — updated as classifications are published